People continue to try to find the horizon. The Economist last week warned that in seeking to assign new tasks to government, President Barack Obama risks stifling the dynamism of the American economy. Business Week began a series of contributed essays building towards a special issue in August, “The Case for Optimism.” In August, too, will appear In FED We Trust: Ben Bernanke’s War on the Great Panic– a book that may propel Wall Street Journal columnist David Wessel into a Bob Woodward-like role as a chronicler of US economic policy.
I turned briefly to two books that are directly influential in disseminating the recent changes in our view of growth: The Economics of Growth, by Philippe Aghion, of Harvard University, and Peter Howitt, of Brown; and Introduction to Modern Economic Growth, by Daron Acemoglu, of the Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Both are textbooks, the former intended for advanced undergraduates or beginning graduate students, the latter for graduate students well along in their training. Both contribute substantially to the professional debate. But neither is easy reading.
The current book that comes closest to communicating a modern view of growth, I think, is The Venturesome Economy: How Innovation Sustains Prosperity in a More Connected World, by Amar Bhidé, professor of business at Columbia University., Bhidé, who is not an economist, compares his method to the evidentiary proceedings of a common law trial: he interviews experts from many disciplines, and then makes up his mind. The last author to make a substantial contribution to this literature was AnnaLee Saxenian, author of The New Argonauts: Regional Advantage in a Global Economy. Her method was frankly journalistic, but she came back with the goods. So does Bhidé.
The burden of the argument of Venturesome Economy is that that an inevitable expansion is taking place in the quantity of high-level know-how that is being developed in countries around the world – not just Japan and Korea, but India and China, Israel and Australia. If the US learns to relax and take advantage of new knowledge developed offshore, everything will be fine. But if “technonationalism” gains the upper hand – in the form of, say, a commitment to a strong US automotive industry, no matter what the cost – then a world carved into trading spheres could experience slower growth than otherwise would be the case.
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